When it won’t be the largest combat sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is the biggest MMA event of the entire year. In addition to this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two extra title bouts, contenders and entertaining battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have moved for many 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his ideas on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two fought and a few naively expected the line could be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the impact expected on the line. It’s hard to blame bettors Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some tough battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each component of that first fight. Expect something similar – if not dominant – that time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his preparation, Jones is the type of fighter who rises to the occasion like few others. He, this is the greatest occasion. Cormier is his main rival and he has the opportunity to regain the belt he never dropped against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch of Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line hasn’t seen much movement. Given that the contrasting styles, that’s not tough to trust. There’s a contingent of individuals who think that Woodley will starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They might well be right. The opposing side of this coin is made up of people who believe that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just dominate with his grappling. They could be right as well. Woodley’s inclination to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia has gotten so good at entering the clinch if not under stress he ought to have the ability to create Woodley overlook once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that’s a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to initiate Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he has perfected the only leg to back take) and Woodley being the kind of man who likes to burst from positions will only hurt him once that occurs. It’s sort of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra buck (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley won’t have the ability to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wants to. The other option is most likely a fast Woodley KO (+350 for the champ at Round 1, by the way).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable is dependent on what type of bettor you are. In case you don’t have any difficulty throwing a massive lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are almost sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will probably be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a drama relies on Evinger’s strength. She has taken damage in many of her fights and persevered and she likely won’t return to beat Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there’s an external shot she is able to survive five minutes. But even the prices for”Fight Begins Round two” and Cyborg Round two have dropped substantially (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less attractive even to someone who’s always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this struggle is taking place after both men have seemingly passed their peak concerning durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best are a thing to behold. This battle will come down to space direction and in-fight decisions. Lawler wants to be indoors, Cerrone would like to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s constant pressure will gradually see him get inside and at that point, expect Cerrone to be far too willing to oblige him the warfare he’s searching for. While that will give us the type of struggle we would like to see, don’t expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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